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Post by buzzlightyear on Jun 26, 2018 9:32:22 GMT -6
Forgive me if already completed but here mine goes as follows: Column 1 number of wins Column 2 actual percentage chance of winning that many games. Column 3 running percent total. ......................................................................... Zero ....1%.....1% One......1%.....2% Two......1%.....3% Three...2%.....5% Four.....2%.....7% Five......3%....10% Six.......5%.....15% Seven..8%.....23% Eight....9%.....32% Nine.....14%...46% Ten.......14%...60% Eleven..14%...74% Twelve..13%...87% Thirteen 8%....95% Fourteen 5%...100% .................................. Yes I am saying we have a 26% chance of winning 12 or more games. What do you guys think. PS I am waiting in a doctors office right now and you know how slow those suckers are!!!!!
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Post by TroyFootball05 on Jun 26, 2018 16:31:56 GMT -6
There are 15 possible games...
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Post by Trojan By Birth on Jun 26, 2018 19:10:16 GMT -6
I say it every year, but based on the last two seasons, it could REALLY happen this year. I think we go undefeated. Do we get a shot at the final four? Politics say probably not. So I'm saying we go 14-0 and get a final 5 ranking.
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Post by Bubba the Trojan on Jun 26, 2018 19:17:57 GMT -6
I say it every year, but based on the last two seasons, it could REALLY happen this year. I think we go undefeated. Do we get a shot at the final four? Politics say probably not. So I'm saying we go 14-0 and get a final 5 ranking. I love your optimism. Not that I don't think we can go undefeated, but we could go undefeated twice and not be in top 5. The big boys will never allow it with the system structured as it is currently.
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Post by Trojan By Birth on Jun 26, 2018 19:20:15 GMT -6
I say it every year, but based on the last two seasons, it could REALLY happen this year. I think we go undefeated. Do we get a shot at the final four? Politics say probably not. So I'm saying we go 14-0 and get a final 5 ranking. I love your optimism. Not that I don't think we can go undefeated, but we could go undefeated twice and not be in top 5. The big boys will never allow it with the system structured as it is currently.
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Post by buzzlightyear on Jun 26, 2018 19:20:19 GMT -6
I guess you could say there was a chance of 15 games but it is about 0.00001% chance.
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Post by dedicatedtrojan84 on Jun 27, 2018 7:16:48 GMT -6
We lose one we shouldn't every year. Also, we have unproven QB's. Put the cool aid down and take a deep breath.
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Post by buzzlightyear on Jun 27, 2018 8:28:57 GMT -6
In some ways I hope everyone in Trojan nation is optimistic at this point. Maybe predicting a straight undefeated season is a bit on the Jim Jones fan club side but another way of looking at it (at least with my numbers) is that to win 7-9 games we have a 31% chance of winning that many games. Where as winning 10-12 games there is a 41% chance of winning that many. I do believe we have a better chance of winning greater than 9 games than winning less. Winning greater than 12 as in 13 or 14 games is about 13% chance and winning less than 7 as in 6 or less is slightly greater at 15%. I am not sure that looking at it this way is tooooooooooo optimistic but hopefully with the luck of not many injuries and a D as good as last year we have reason to be as optimistic as my predictions.
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Post by cornhole on Jun 27, 2018 15:42:22 GMT -6
This thread is proof that Kool-Ade tastes GREAT!!
Just give me a Dickel #12 & Vernor's please. Sit back, relax, it's the SOUND of Summer!
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Post by buzzlightyear on Jun 27, 2018 16:33:12 GMT -6
Just wait till I get my weather prediction ardvark this year. Then we will have some real predictions
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Post by Bubba the Trojan on Jun 27, 2018 20:18:01 GMT -6
Just wait till I get my weather prediction ardvark this year. Then we will have some real predictions I saw today that WSFA in Montgomery has new software that will tell them the temperature of the ROAD. They'll be able to predict what roads will ice in the winter and what roads will blister your bare feet in the summer. Your weather aardvark is gonna have to be really good to top that.
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Post by troyjan95 on Jul 8, 2018 13:19:20 GMT -6
We lose 2 games this year. Not sure which ones but I do think we win the first!
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Post by troyjan95 on Jul 9, 2018 7:07:53 GMT -6
We lose 2 games this year. Not sure which ones but I do think we win the first!
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Post by doc71 on Jul 12, 2018 8:22:57 GMT -6
We now have the talent and depth so that it’s not “Pie in sky” to say we can win every game ... and if we just play well, not perfect. It’s a simple game: if you can limit the run and scoring ... and you can run the ball ... well, we should be IN every game. Big thing is not losing the 1 or 2 we aren’t “supposed” to. So ... it’s in realm of possibility we win out and could be highest ranked G5 for $$ bowl. If we do our part, we also need rest of Sun Belt to do well out of conference. We have the talent... now it depends on the mental aspect ... chemistry, etc. Exciting time!
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Post by buzzlightyear on Jul 12, 2018 11:49:01 GMT -6
We now have the talent and depth so that it’s not “Pie in sky” to say we can win every game ... and if we just play well, not perfect. It’s a simple game: if you can limit the run and scoring ... and you can run the ball ... well, we should be IN every game. Big thing is not losing the 1 or 2 we aren’t “supposed” to. So ... it’s in realm of possibility we win out and could be highest ranked G5 for $$ bowl. If we do our part, we also need rest of Sun Belt to do well out of conference. We have the talent... now it depends on the mental aspect ... chemistry, etc. Exciting time! You know for every and I mean EVERY team to win it takes some luck (things to go your way) it could be less of an injury in a player or a miracle bounce or even Iowa to slap the snot out of OHio State so that Alacrapa even made it to the college football playoffs. So yes, chemistry timely execution and just a tad to quite of bit of luck. I stand by my % of wins at the begging of this thread. But like that little boy in “Angels in the outfield”. “It could happen!” That just isn’t a very good battle cry or cheer.
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Post by cornhole on Jul 12, 2018 17:13:29 GMT -6
We now have the talent and depth so that it’s not “Pie in sky” to say we can win every game ... and if we just play well, not perfect. It’s a simple game: if you can limit the run and scoring ... and you can run the ball ... well, we should be IN every game. Big thing is not losing the 1 or 2 we aren’t “supposed” to. So ... it’s in realm of possibility we win out and could be highest ranked G5 for $$ bowl. If we do our part, we also need rest of Sun Belt to do well out of conference. We have the talent... now it depends on the mental aspect ... chemistry, etc. Exciting time! Kool Ade, Kool Ade, tastes Great. Wish we had some...…….. can't wait!! And just how many Div I football teams went undefeated last year?? Odds are we lose one or two, but I'll be there. Now where's that Dickel and Ginger? Sit back, relax, it's the SOUND OF SUMMER!
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