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Post by Bubba the Trojan on Nov 19, 2022 9:49:28 GMT -6
I know there is still work to be done, realistically, we need to win our last two for this question to even be relevant, but they are very winnable games, so I'm going with we finish the regular season at 10-2. If so, the host of the conference title game will be decided by a tie breaker. If we win out and coastal loses next week, we win the first tie breaker. If, however, we win out and they win next week, we will have to use tiebreaker #2 to determine the host. If I correctly understand that one, the team that ENTERS play next weekend with the highest CFP ranking will host, PROVIDED they win the final game. If that team doesn't win, and the other division winner (Troy) does, then Div winner #2 would host. Since Coastal does not play this weekend, I do not see them falling in the rankings enough that we over them, even if we win today.
Given this, the only 2 routes I see for us to host Dec 3 is we win out AND Coastal loses next weekend, OR we lose one of the final two and Coastal loses next weekend (both teams with 2 SBC losses and Coastal losing final game). Either way, we would need the Chickens to falter.
Do I have the calculus right? If I've messed things up, let me know, because I need to know all the possible combinations in play for us to play in Troy Dec 3.
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Post by jonesoxygen on Nov 19, 2022 10:27:11 GMT -6
You’re correct. I’ve read that crap 100 times. We are all Troy and JMU fans these next two weeks. JMU can absolutely beat them, especially without McCall. Assuming we handle business today, they play at 11 next week and we kick at 2. It will be nice to know how their game finished as we (fans) mentally prepare to beat ASU and know where we are headed the next week.
Also not out of the realm of possibility that USM beats 🚫today and gets them off our back.
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Post by troyfan on Nov 19, 2022 10:57:47 GMT -6
We really need southern miss to win tonight
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Post by The Cardinal Rule on Nov 19, 2022 12:40:00 GMT -6
We just need to win our last two games and the rest will take care of itself.
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Post by artemissilverbow on Nov 19, 2022 18:58:50 GMT -6
We just need to win our last two games and the rest will take care of itself. Although I would love to host a conference championship game, I think the best thing for us would be for coastal to win against James Madison and they host the title game. I say that because I truly believe that if we have 3 loss American champion they would not be ranked above a Sunbelt Champion and could potentially mean that the sun belt champion would get the bid into the Cotton Bowl In essence, coastal, and us need to win out, we need to beat coastal in Conway for the Sun Belt championship and we need the American conference champion to have three losses Mac and the mountain west will not have teams ranked high enough and if Texas San Antonio wins conference USA they would not jump over a Sunbelt Champion
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Post by jonesoxygen on Nov 19, 2022 19:59:21 GMT -6
We just need to win our last two games and the rest will take care of itself. Although I would love to host a conference championship game, I think the best thing for us would be for coastal to win against James Madison and they host the title game. I say that because I truly believe that if we have 3 loss American champion they would not be ranked above a Sunbelt Champion and could potentially mean that the sun belt champion would get the bid into the Cotton Bowl In essence, coastal, and us need to win out, we need to beat coastal in Conway for the Sun Belt championship and we need the American conference champion to have three losses Mac and the mountain west will not have teams ranked high enough and if Texas San Antonio wins conference USA they would not jump over a Sunbelt Champion You are 100% correct. As much as I don’t want to go to Conway, I’m okay with Dallas for New Years!
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Post by buzzlightyear on Nov 20, 2022 10:33:56 GMT -6
Although I would love to host a conference championship game, I think the best thing for us would be for coastal to win against James Madison and they host the title game. I say that because I truly believe that if we have 3 loss American champion they would not be ranked above a Sunbelt Champion and could potentially mean that the sun belt champion would get the bid into the Cotton Bowl In essence, coastal, and us need to win out, we need to beat coastal in Conway for the Sun Belt championship and we need the American conference champion to have three losses Mac and the mountain west will not have teams ranked high enough and if Texas San Antonio wins conference USA they would not jump over a Sunbelt Champion You are 100% correct. As much as I don’t want to go to Conway, I’m okay with Dallas for New Years! Work is not done. But the fact that this EVEN comes up AT ALL, at this time of year in HCJS first year is AMAZING!!! 1-0 THIS WEEK BABY!!!
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Post by TroyFootball05 on Nov 20, 2022 14:23:06 GMT -6
JMU is a 13.5 point favorite over Coastal. Opened at 12, but has moved in JMU's favor. That really surprised me. Vegas gives JMU an 83% chance to win. If they beat coastal, they would be "first place in the east" but unable to advance to the title game. Troy would host if we beat also Arkansas State.
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Post by atlantatrojan on Nov 20, 2022 14:30:14 GMT -6
JMU is a 13.5 point favorite over Coastal. Opened at 12, but has moved in JMU's favor. That really surprised me. Vegas gives JMU an 83% chance to win. If they beat coastal, they would be "first place in the east" but unable to advance to the title game. Troy would host if we beat also Arkansas State. We HAVE to take care of business this week. A JMU win would be huge for us in many ways including hosting the CCG.
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Post by Bubba the Trojan on Nov 21, 2022 16:21:56 GMT -6
I just reserved my seats for the conference title game, should we host. You have until 12:00 noon, Saturday to reservere them. Card will not be billed IF We don't host the game and will not be bill until it has been determined that we host. There is NO deposit required. Don't get left behind.
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Post by troyfan on Nov 21, 2022 16:40:04 GMT -6
JMU is a 13.5 point favorite over Coastal. Opened at 12, but has moved in JMU's favor. That really surprised me. Vegas gives JMU an 83% chance to win. If they beat coastal, they would be "first place in the east" but unable to advance to the title game. Troy would host if we beat also Arkansas State. Damn.
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Post by asacarter on Nov 21, 2022 18:58:40 GMT -6
Reservations on SBCG happening now. We will also know by the time we take the field Saturday where the game will be if we win. JMU/CCU kick at 11.
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Post by Hemi Man on Nov 21, 2022 20:08:26 GMT -6
I just reserved my seats for the conference title game, should we host. You have until 12:00 noon, Saturday to reservere them. Card will not be billed IF We don't host the game and will not be bill until it has been determined that we host. There is NO deposit required. Don't get left behind. Done as well.
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Post by Trojan By Birth on Nov 21, 2022 21:23:44 GMT -6
I just went ahead and reserved my 6. I won't have 6 though. TBBjr's BFF has his birthday party on the 3rd. There is another birthday party on the 4th. Mrs. TBB says I have to take the kids to the party on the 4th if I go to Troy on the 3rd.
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Post by scatman on Nov 22, 2022 10:49:09 GMT -6
Hate to say it, I was holding out hope, but with a 3 loss UCF getting P5 treatment already, and with UTSA somehow making it into the top 25 over us even though they play in the FBS Lite conference, we really need Coastal to remain ranked and us have a huge road win in Conway if we want to make it to the cotton bowl. I was hoping for other teams to lose, but there’s no way 4 top G5 teams all lose in the final weekend.
I know some of you have voiced this already, but I was really hoping we could play at home AND go cotton bowling. Just don’t think it’s in the cards for us without a ranked win.
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Post by jonesoxygen on Nov 22, 2022 11:03:08 GMT -6
Hate to say it, I was holding out hope, but with a 3 loss UCF getting P5 treatment already, and with UTSA somehow making it into the top 25 over us even though they play in the FBS Lite conference, we really need Coastal to remain ranked and us have a huge road win in Conway if we want to make it to the cotton bowl. I was hoping for other teams to lose, but there’s no way 4 top G5 teams all lose in the final weekend. I know some of you have voiced this already, but I was really hoping we could play at home AND go cotton bowling. Just don’t think it’s in the cards for us without a ranked win. I'm with you. I'm back to pulling for JMU so that we can host (of course IF we win, I'm not assuming anything, no bad mojo here). My life will be much easier if I'm in Troy on 12/3 rather than Conway, SC. Also for the Sun Belt, they will make a lot more money if the game is in Troy. There are far more casual football fans in Alabama than the Carolinas
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Post by scatman on Nov 22, 2022 11:16:32 GMT -6
Hate to say it, I was holding out hope, but with a 3 loss UCF getting P5 treatment already, and with UTSA somehow making it into the top 25 over us even though they play in the FBS Lite conference, we really need Coastal to remain ranked and us have a huge road win in Conway if we want to make it to the cotton bowl. I was hoping for other teams to lose, but there’s no way 4 top G5 teams all lose in the final weekend. I know some of you have voiced this already, but I was really hoping we could play at home AND go cotton bowling. Just don’t think it’s in the cards for us without a ranked win. I'm with you. I'm back to pulling for JMU so that we can host (of course IF we win, I'm not assuming anything, no bad mojo here). My life will be much easier if I'm in Troy on 12/3 rather than Conway, SC. Also for the Sun Belt, they will make a lot more money if the game is in Troy. There are far more casual football fans in Alabama than the Carolinas I’m honeymooning for a week out of state so I’m selfishly thinking about what would be easiest for us to end up in the cotton bowl since I can’t make it to the game whether it’s home or away. Lol
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